Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-31 367.891974 418.009458 473.873625 541.017195 619.864330 709.925077 821.161097
2025-09-07 293.653982 358.916352 438.373579 543.267216 679.640792 853.080603 1093.822438
2025-09-14 248.407765 317.733146 406.968577 532.144305 706.271704 944.604750 1303.848784
2025-09-21 219.769200 291.566909 388.254888 530.863252 740.868879 1047.063326 1543.426420
2025-09-28 191.443671 261.328306 358.838160 508.525962 739.361603 1093.924795 1705.020976
2025-10-05 180.783688 253.984650 359.874119 529.264591 803.391033 1248.425614 2068.192123
2025-10-12 172.767295 249.218264 363.555694 553.649391 875.686886 1427.202456 2511.921189
2025-10-19 161.152332 237.630925 355.245412 557.278116 913.249990 1551.936262 2883.432100
2025-10-26 147.668222 221.752034 338.362189 544.247528 919.327663 1619.848517 3156.769120
2025-11-02 136.749048 208.890312 324.952845 535.282668 930.923946 1699.172461 3471.705522
2025-11-09 131.428104 204.552688 325.062640 549.865383 988.193640 1877.813267 4053.346491
2025-11-16 123.593891 195.343051 315.961506 546.460786 1009.692879 1985.971772 4496.972603
2025-11-23 115.301705 184.910275 304.161833 537.371847 1019.938343 2075.103916 4928.320262
2025-11-30 109.481168 178.291127 298.554372 539.603765 1054.309874 2225.764100 5573.867607
2025-12-07 102.379204 168.846049 286.949257 528.570341 1058.290463 2305.652263 6045.319356
2025-12-14 97.254778 162.532101 280.553336 527.299572 1083.698900 2442.856141 6736.803956
2025-12-21 89.951666 151.753663 264.888720 505.140804 1058.068569 2445.528313 7002.761966
2025-12-28 88.420471 151.462258 269.213336 525.713737 1136.178650 2737.948078 8356.319244
2026-01-04 87.324146 151.878353 274.911951 549.902083 1227.179512 3088.288822 10085.712045
2026-01-11 84.064423 147.932286 271.570752 553.501427 1266.813617 3300.328765 11388.979626
2026-01-18 79.380177 140.925616 261.477612 540.576170 1261.388778 3375.377042 12163.504393
2026-01-25 75.435992 135.126518 253.452533 531.683491 1265.613916 3482.342850 13135.653398
2026-02-01 73.927521 134.045379 255.180006 546.148674 1336.456782 3823.659531 15394.300540